Explainer: what’s the difference between an outbreak and an epidemic?
More than 8,000 people have died from Ebola in West Africa since February 2014 and it has spread beyond the three countries initially affected. So, it’s an epidemic, right? Or is it an outbreak?
What about H1N1? The 2009 pandemic infected people around the world. But, so did the SARS epidemic in 2003. What’s the difference between an epidemic and pandemic? What about diseases like malaria and Dengue? Dengue fever infects between 50 and 100 million people each year in countries all over the world. So that’s the same thing as a pandemic? Not quite. Maybe you’ve seen headlines about West Nile Virus, Chikungunya fever or Middle East Respiratory Syndrome. And what are emerging and reemerging diseases?
It’s time to brush up on the vocabulary that can help you understand just what infectious disease experts are trying to tell us.
Outbreaks, Epidemics and Pandemics
An outbreak is the sudden occurrence of a disease in a community, which has never experienced the disease before or when cases of that disease occur in numbers greater than expected in a defined area. The current Ebola scenario in West Africa started as an outbreak, which initially affected three countries.
So what exactly is an epidemic? It is an occurrence of a group of illnesses of similar nature and derived from a common source, in excess of what would be normally expected in a community or region. A classic example of an epidemic would be Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS). The epidemic killed about 774 people out of 8,098 that were infected. It started as an outbreak in Asia and then spread to two dozen countries and took the form of an epidemic. The same is true for Ebola, which is now being termed an epidemic.
A pandemic on the other hand refers to a worldwide epidemic, which could have started off as outbreak, escalated to the level of an epidemic and eventually spread to a number of countries across continents. The 2009 flu pandemic is a good example. Between the period of April 2009 and August 2010, there were approximately 18,449 deaths in over 214 countries. The flu virus (H1N1) probably originated in Mexico and within two months, sustained human-to-human transmission in several countries on different continents was reported, prompting the WHO to announce the highest alert level (phase 6, pandemic) on June 12, 2009.
Some diseases can remain active in a given area for years and years. A disease is described as endemic when it is habitually present within a given geographic area. For example, Dengue, which is spread by mosquitoes, is endemic in more than 100 countries. So why isn’t dengue considered a pandemic yet? The point to consider here is that the dengue cases are not from a common source. Mosquitoes do not fly beyond a few hundred meters, so the cases in each country are from a different source. Rotavirus-induced infant diarrhea is another example of an endemic disease, which is rampant in developing countries.
Although people use terms like outbreak and epidemic interchangeably, it would only be fair to understand the definitive meaning behind each word. An outbreak can take the form of an epidemic and eventually a pandemic, but that does not entitle us to use these words incorrectly.